Nerstrand Agriculture

Grain Reports
January 12, 2009

www.countryhedging.com

USDA U.S. Final 2008-09 Crop Production (in billion Bushels)

USDA 2008-09
Average
Range

November 2008-09

2007 Final
Corn
12.101
11.975
11.880-12.078
12.020
13.074
Soybeans
2.959
2.913
2.879-2.940
2.921
2.676

USDA 2009 US Winter Wheat Seedings (in million acres)

 
USDA 2009
Average
Range
2008 Seedings
All Winter Wheat
42.098
44.178
42.920-45.800
46.181
Hard Rock Winter
30.2
31.096
30.500-31.900
31.220
Soft Red Winter
8.29
9.381
8.470-10.900
11.200
White Winter
3.62
3.763
3.40-4.000
3.761

USDA US Grain Stocks as of December 1 (in billion bushels)

 
Dec 2008
Average
Range
Sep 1 2008
Dec 1 2007
Corn
10.084
9.832
9.699-9.998
1.624
10.278
Soybeans
2.275
2.181
1.973-2.238
0.205
2.360
Wheat
1.422
1.365
1.321-1.410
1.857
1.132

USDA 2008-09 U.S. Grain Carryout (in billion bushels)

 
January 2008-09
Average
Range
December 2008-09
December 2007-08
Corn
1.790
1.499
1.292-1.689
1.474
1.624
Soybeans
.225
0.188
0.159-0.215
0.205
0.205
Wheat
.655
0.608
0.575-0.669
0.623
0.306

USDA 2008-09 World Grain Carryout (in billion bushels)

 
USDA 2008-09
December 2008-09
USDA 2007-08
Corn
136.03
123.83
127.80
Soybeans
53.94
54.19
53.10
Wheat
148.36
147.35
119.36

Early Call-

Corn - 10 to 20 lower...big carryout

Soybeans - 15 to 20 lower...SA weather is a concern

Wheat - 10 to 15 lower...acreage is smaller than expected